Assesment of Climate Change Effect on Temperature and Precipitation Based on Fourth and Fifth IPCC reports (Case study: Isfahan Province)

Document Type : Research Paper


1 M.Sc. Graduate of Civil Engineering, Civil Engineering Department , University of Zabol, Iran

2 Assistant Professor, Civil Engineering Department, University of Zabol, Iran

3 M.Sc. Graduate of Civil Engineering, Civil Engineering Department, University of Zabol, Iran.


Climate change represents changes in the climate within the earth's atmosphere and its consequences in different parts of the planet. Changes in temperature and rainfall patterns have a great influence on the quantity and quality of water resources, especially in arid regions such as Iran, and consequences of this change on water resources are undeniable. This effect is reported to be on general circulation of the atmosphere, temperature, and precipitation. General atmospheric circulation models are the basis of all studies on climate change phenomena (Su et al., 2016). Because of the large network of these models and the low spatial resolution, some microscopic phenomena in general atmospheres cannot provide an accurate approximation of the climate conditions of the area; therefore, their output should be left to meteorological station’s micro-scale (Perkins et al., 2007).


Main Subjects

1- Ajamzadeh, A., 2015. Assessment of climate change effects on optimal water resources selection in Firoozabad river in Fars province, M.Sc. thesis, Zabol University, p.177. (In Persian).
2- Anandhi A., Frei A., Pierson DC., Schneiderman EM., Zion MS., Lounsbury D., 2011. Examination of change factor methodologies for climate change impact assessment. Water Resources Research, 47(3), pp. 1- 10. (In Persian).
3- Babran, S., 2008.  Climate change is the twenty-first century environmental challenge. In Environmental Protection, 1, pp.17-34. (In Persian).
4- Iranmanesh, R., Jalal Kamali, N., Jalal Kamali, A. and Yousefi, M., 2012. Prediction of the effect of climate change phenomena on maximum and minimum temperature at Kerman Station in the period (2030-2011) using Lars and the output of BCMK3 and BCM2 models . 5th National Conference on Water and Soil Management, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman, Iran. (In Persian).
5- Kim J., Choi J., Choi C. and Park S., 2013. Impacts of changes in climate and land use/land cover under IPCC RCP scenarios on streamflow in the Hoeya River Basin, Korea. Science of The Total Environment, 452, pp.181-195.
6- Massah Bavani, A., 2008. Risk Assessment of climate change and its impact on water resources, Ph.D. thesis, Tarbiat Modares University. (In Persian).
6- Montazeri, M., 2014. Application of multivariate statistical methods in zoning of climatic zones (Case study: Isfahan province). Journal of Geographic Research, 3(28), pp. 1-16. (In Persian).
7- Mozafari, Gh., Shafiei, Sh. and Taghizadeh, Z., 2016. Drought evaluation in Sistan and Balouchestan province using a microscopic scale of data for general atmospheric circulation model. Journal of Geographic Information, 93(24), pp.101-114. (In Persian).
8- Park C-K., Byun H-R., Deo R. and Lee B-R.,2015. Drought prediction till 2100 under RCP 8.5 climate change scenarios for Korea. Journal of Hydrology,526, pp.221-230.
9- Peel, M. C. and Finlayson, B. L. and McMahon, T. A., 2007. Updated world map of the Koppen–Geiger climate classification. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences,4(2), pp 439-473.
10- Perkins, S. E.,Pitman, A. J. and Holbrook, N. J., 2007. Evaluation of the AR4 Climate Models’ Simulated Daily Maximum    Temperature, Minimum Temperature, and Precipitation over Australia Using Probability Density Functions, Journal of  Climate, 20(17), pp. 4356-4376.
11- San José R., Pérez JL., González RM., Pecci J., Garzón A. and Palacios M., 2016. Impacts of the 4.5 and 8.5 RCP global climate scenarios on urban meteorology and air quality: Application to Madrid, Antwerp, Milan, Helsinki and London. Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics, 293, pp.192-207.
12- Santini M. and Paola A., 2015. Changes in the world rivers’ discharge projected from an updated high resolution dataset of current and future climate zones. Journal of Hydrology, 531, pp.768-780.
13- Su B., Zeng X., Zhai J., Wang Y. and Li X., 2015. Projected precipitation and streamflow under SRES and RCP emission scenarios in the Songhuajiang River basin, China. Quaternary International, 381, pp.95-105.
14- Sun YD., Wignall PB., Joachimski MM., Bond DPG., Grasby SE, Lai  XL., 2016. Climate warming, euxinia and carbon isotope perturbations during the Carnian (Triassic) Crisis in South China. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 444, pp.88-100.
Volume 42, Issue 2
June 2019
Pages 1-16
  • Receive Date: 06 September 2016
  • Revise Date: 18 May 2017
  • Accept Date: 22 May 2017
  • First Publish Date: 22 June 2019