ارزیابی مدل توسعه داده شده میشرا- سینگ تک پارامتری در برآورد هیدروگراف سیلاب

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانش آموخته کارشناسی ارشد، گروه مهندسی آب، دانشکده مهندسی آب و خاک، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی گرگان.

2 استادیار، گروه مهندسی آب، دانشکده مهندسی آب و خاک، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی گرگان.

3 دانشیار، گروه مهندسی آب، دانشکده مهندسی آب و خاک، دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی گرگان.

چکیده

تحقیقات اخیر نشان داده است که امکان استفاده از مدل متداول شماره منحنی (SCS-CN) در بسیاری از مناطق نمی­باشد. از این­رو مدل­های دیگری در این زمینه توسعه داده شده و می­بایست مورد ارزیابی مقایسه­ای قرار گیرند. هدف مطالعه حاضر مقایسه کارایی مدل میشرا-سینگ تک پارامتری، در مقایسه با مدل متداول شماره منحنی است. برای این منظور از داده­های بارش-رواناب پنج حوضه آبریز در استان گلستان استفاده شده است. معیارهای جذر میانگین مربعات خطا (RMSE)، ناش-ساتکلیف (NSE) و خطای دبی اوج (PEP) برای بررسی دقت شبیه­سازی هیدروگراف و دبی اوج مورد استفاده قرار گرفت. نتایج نشان داد در ۱۳ رگبار از ۱۴ رگبار مورد مقایسه، مدل میشرا- سینگ تک پارامتری، برآورد دقیق­تری از هیدروگراف و دبی اوج سیلاب دارد. این در حالی است که در یک رگبار باقی­مانده تفاوت نتایج دو مدل کوچک به­دست آمده است. میانگین معیارهای RMSE،  NSE و PEP در مدل متداول شماره منحنی SCS-CN برابر با 4/29، 9/35- و 98/0- و در مدل میشرا-سینگ تک پارامتری، به­ترتیب برابر با 19، 2/9- و 0 است.  

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Assessment of Developed 1-parameter Mishra-Singh Model for Flood Hydrograph Estimation

نویسندگان [English]

  • Sanaz Daei 1
  • Meysam Salarijazi 2
  • Khalil Ghorbani 3
  • Mahdi Meftah Halaghi 3
1 MSc Graduated, Water Engineering Department, Faculty of Water and Soil Engineering, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources.
2 Assistant Professor, Water Engineering Department, Faculty of Water and Soil Engineering, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources.(
3 Associate Professor, Water Engineering Department, Faculty of Water and Soil Engineering, Gorgan University of Agricultural Sciences and Natural Resources.
چکیده [English]

There are various models for flood prediction that are based on different conceptual basis. The current SCS-CN model is a well-known model in this field that is widely used in Iran and other countries. Recent researches focuses on improvement of this model and improve its efficiency but it is necessary to evaluate the improved models for catchments of Iran. The objective of this study is the comparison of current SCS-CN and developed Mishra-Singh (One Parameter) models for flood hydrograph and peak estimation using data of five catchments in Golestan province.
 
Methodology
Study Area and Used Data
Five catchments (including Galikesh, Tamer, Kechik, Vatana and Nodeh) located in Golestan province were considered to evaluate different models for flood hydrograph estimation. The characteristics of the selected basins are presented in Table

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • SCS-CN
  • 1-Parameter Mishra-Singh Model
  • Hydrograph
  • Peak Discharge
  • Golestan
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دوره 42، شماره 1
فروردین 1398
صفحه 201-213
  • تاریخ دریافت: 19 فروردین 1397
  • تاریخ بازنگری: 22 مهر 1397
  • تاریخ پذیرش: 05 آبان 1397
  • تاریخ انتشار: 01 فروردین 1398